Democrats have not convinced the public that they are able to beat President Trump in 2020.
A new poll from Monmouth University found that an overwhelming majority of Americans, approximately two-thirds, believe Trump will win reelection this year, with only 28% feeling otherwise. However, the poll also found that only 42% of voters believe the incumbent president should win reelection. Support for Trump’s reelection has steadily grown since September 2019 after the House of Representatives announced its impeachment proceedings.
In late September, only 39% supported Trump’s reelection. Before his acquittal, that number increased to 41%, and, as the campaign continued, Democrats have comparatively less confidence in their chances to win the presidency than Republicans. Only 11% of Democrats say their nominee will “definitely beat” Trump, while 44% believe he or she will “probably” defeat Trump. By contrast, 59% of Republicans say a Trump 2020 victory is “definite,” and 34% say it is “probable.”