Democrats have not convinced the public that they are able to beat President Trump in 2020.

A new poll from Monmouth University found that an overwhelming majority of Americans, approximately two-thirds, believe Trump will win reelection this year, with only 28% feeling otherwise. However, the poll also found that only 42% of voters believe the incumbent president should win reelection. Support for Trump’s reelection has steadily grown since September 2019 after the House of Representatives announced its impeachment proceedings.

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In late September, only 39% supported Trump’s reelection. Before his acquittal, that number increased to 41%, and, as the campaign continued, Democrats have comparatively less confidence in their chances to win the presidency than Republicans. Only 11% of Democrats say their nominee will “definitely beat” Trump, while 44% believe he or she will “probably” defeat Trump. By contrast, 59% of Republicans say a Trump 2020 victory is “definite,” and 34% say it is “probable.”

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