President Trump is leading all Democrat candidates in the key battleground states of Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan. The poll conducted by Firehouse Strategies in consultation with Optimus had three main takeaways:

    • Trump Improves His Lead In Head-to-Head Match-Ups Against Leading Democratic Contenders
    • Battleground States Trending Trump over Biden
    • Battleground Voters Oppose Impeach and Remove; Support Congressional Democrats Turning Back to Policy Issues

 Full Methodology Summary:

The Firehouse/0ptimus survey was conducted 12/3 through 12/5 and interviewed 1,759 likely 2020 general election voters in Wisconsin (N = 610), Michigan (N = 551), and Pennsylvania (N = 598) via live landline (WI: 238; MI: 228; PA: 227), live cellphone (WI: 114; MI: 117; PA: 133), and peer to peer text message to web (WI: 258; MI: 206; PA: 238).

Likely voters were identified as those who voted in either the 2016 or 2018 general elections plus additional voters who are expected to vote in the 2020 election as determined by 0ptimus turnout modeling. Each state sample was weighted by age group, gender, education, and political party to reflect the demographic characteristics of the likely voter population within each state.

Margins of error vary by question and segment but is generally ± 4.1% in WI, ± 4.3% in MI, and ± 4.3% in PA for the topline results.


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