Many experts are saying that the Wuhan virus is turning into a global pandemic, with a mortality rate (based on official statistics) of roughly two percent. By contrast, the mortality rate of the 1918 Spanish Flu was 2.5%. The Spanish Flu was a global catastrophe, killing more people than World War I.
Will Wuhan be the same? Unclear. Writing in The New York Times, Frankie Huang, an American in quarantine in Shanghai, reports that the problem is in trusting the official numbers: “Yesterday, I saw on social media that someone noticed that the ratio in the official figures for the total dead to the total diagnosed cases has remained exactly 2.1 percent every day since Jan. 30. ‘This magical virus is very good at math!’ I felt my face crumple as I stared at the numbers. I had forgotten that every piece of news must be examined for how it is being used to strengthen the regime’s rule. . . . I so badly want to believe in the Chinese government when millions of lives are on the line.”